Tensions in the Gulf are liable to remain high as both Iran and the US are likely to continue their strategic posturing in the region over the short term.
The Islamic State published a claim of responsibility for an attack in Mocimboa da Praia district, Cabo Delgado Province, likely in an effort to portray their global reach and operational resilience despite losses in the Middle East.
Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, leader of the Islamic State, openly appeared in a video for the first time in almost five years. The main objective of the video is to showcase to followers that al-Baghdadi is alive and still in command of the organization, and to rally his followers to increase their rate of activities.
Amendments to 14 articles within Egypt’s 2014 constitution were approved in a nationwide referendum, which was held between April 19-22. This development is highly notable as it will extend President Abdel Fatah al-Sisi’s presidential term from four to six years as well as allow him to seek re-election for a third term. This will allow the president to further entrench himself within the country’s political apparatus.
The security situation in Libya is likely to significantly deteriorate over the coming months. As the LNA’s operation becomes protracted, as a result of strong defensive measures adopted by GNA-linked forces, it will be compelled to divert troops from other parts of Libya, allowing IS to increase its activity.
Since September 2018, there has been a dramatic increase in militant attacks in Burkina Faso, now affecting 11 of the 13 regions. Militancy is expected to continue spreading throughout the rural areas of the country as jihadists grow entrenched in the north and east and mobilize toward the west and south.
On March 5, three suspicious packages were found at three separate locations in London, including City Airport (LCY), Heathrow Airport (LHR), and Waterloo Station, and one at Glasgow University.A claim was made taking responsibility for five devices (one of which has yet to be uncovered), on behalf of a group referring to themselves as the Irish Republican Army.