MENA Analysis: Use of UAVs by non-state actors to grow in scope, potentially pose greater risk to civilian infrastructure in coming year Executive Summary: As part of a global phenomenon, there has been a recent increase in the scope and frequency of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) attacks by non-state actors in the Middle East. This…
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Category: Geopolitical Analysis
Executive Summary 2020 witnessed a surge in large-scale protest movements, despite the imposition of lockdowns. The implementation of COVID-19 restrictions on gatherings, including demonstrations, led to a surge in anti-government and anti-police sentiment, increasing the associated risk at demonstrations, as well as the prevalence of more extremist activists at protests. While these restrictions are being…
MENA Analysis: Use of UAVs by non-state actors to grow in scope, potentially pose greater risk to civilian infrastructure in coming year Executive Summary: As part of a global phenomenon, there has been a recent increase in the scope and frequency of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) attacks by non-state actors in the Middle East. This…
Executive Summary On February 18, President Abdelmadjid Tebboune dissolved the People’s National Assembly (APN) and called for early legislative elections, slated for June 12. The announcement came ahead of the two-year anniversary of the anti-government protest movement on February 22. This measure was aimed at appeasing the public’s anti-government sentiments. However, protesters will perceive the…
Executive Summary There has been a gradual decrease in the number of attacks conducted by Islamic State (IS)-affiliated Wilayat Sinai in the North Sinai Governorate in 2021. This indicates that the Sunni jihadist militant group is coming under increasing pressure, both in terms of its ranks and capabilities. There has been a gradual shift in…
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and current Alternate Prime Minister Gantz reached a coalition agreement that stipulates that Israel can apply sovereignty to parts of the West Bank, in coordination with the US administration, from July 1. The different and currently unknown versions and timing of the potential application of sovereignty, also known as annexation, will have an impact on the backlash vis-a-vis the Palestinians, as well as Israel’s relations with prominent regional actors.